Skip to main content

Why Obama Will Still Win in November

The historical record which clearly shows that presidents don't get re-elected when the unemployment rate is high doesn't much reflect the demographic reality of today.
There are not that many white, young, unemployed people who buy into Romney's vision of the free-market creating umpteen millionaires and hence removing poverty and making Social Security, Medicare and other safety nets unnecessary.
May be Obama will win because of these factors even if he comes across as wonky or lackluster or not-aggressive-enough in the debates as the media and all the pundits have been harping on.
It's tough to believe that Americans can be so forgetful about recent economic history when W. came into office with a surplus and there was debate between Gore and W about what to do with that surplus. Bush explicitly cut taxes for the rich as he had promised to do (at a cost of a trillion dollars) and ran up a trillion dollar bill for an unnecessary war in Mesopotamia. The TARP designed by Bush and Hank Paulson cost nearly another trillion dollars.
So Obama got handed the economic mess that he was. He tried to salvage whatever he could from the mess created by Wall. St. and ensured that the economy didn’t  fall off the cliff and also passed Obamacare which gets more Americans insured.
Meanwhile, Romney peddles some utter untruths even going so far as to say that private insurance is cheaper. Obama at least pointed out in the debate about independent studies showing that Medicare has lower administrative costs than pvt. insurers.
No Drama Obama also crushed Hillary Clinton, and then McCain.
Does he have to descend into the mud and remind Americans who killed bin Laden or rub it in to Romney about the "47%" business?
Aren't Americans smart enough to reach their own conclusions? Also, I don't think many hardcore Democrats or Republicans are going to cross over to the other side no matter what the candidates do at this stage.
It's only to persuade the fence sitters. I think No Drama Obama will do a better job of attracting them as well -- unless all those fence sitters happen to be millionaires.
It seems to me the bar was set too low for Romney and when he came out shamelessly swinging and did not commit any gaffes, everyone is going gaga about his performance.
Conversely, the bar was set too high for Obama and when he stuck to the facts, people are saying he failed by his Great Orator standards.
I think it's just that the Democrats are saying: "It's not that *I* have been persuaded by Romney's performance, but I am concerned about the possibility of the *other guy* being persuaded."
Well, relax.
I think, after two more of these are done and Nov. 7 comes around, the headline we'll see will be this:"OBAMA REELECTED"

I posted my 'quick' impressions about the first debate here.

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Sarah Kay's poem from TED

If I should have a daughter, instead of mom, she's going to call me Point B,

because that way she knows that no matter what happens, at least she can always find her way  to me.
And I am going to paint the Solar Systems on the backs of her hands, so she has to learn the entire universe before she can say 'Oh, I know that like the back of my hand'
And she's going to learn that this life will hit you, hard, in the face, wait for you to get back up, just so we can kick you in the stomach but getting the wind knocked out of you is the only way to remind your lungs how much they like the taste of air.

Top 10 Crazy Facts About India

Here's a random list of things. 1.Indians sometimes prefer to abort a fetus if they find out that it's female. (Or they just kill the new born baby after it's born.) 2.There are more than 20 million babies born in India. EVERY. SINGLE. YEAR. 3.Child labor is so commonplace in India that few notice it or consider it out of the ordinary. Kids work as waiters or dishwashers in roadside restaurants. Sometimes, kids ferry tea to the local police station from a nearby roadside tea stall. 4.Massive numbers of kids and younger and adult women are employed as maids in middle class to rich households. Middle class houses might pay 200 rupees to a female who comes and washes the dishes. Rich houses might employ women permanently by paying them more. 5.Cars in the Indian cities are washed in the morning by car-washers who tend to be young men who get paid around 100 to 200 rupees per month for this service. 6.India is home to some crazily competitive exams. The IIT JEE and the IIM CAT have …

Edward Snowden

This seems to me to be the defining journalism-whistle-blower story of this generation. It's rare in today's world when privileged people voluntarily choose to take steps whereby they give up comfortable lives to do something that is in the 'public good.' Mr. Snowden was clearly a computer whiz which explains why he got jobs at the CIA (including postings in Geneva under diplomatic cover). Booz Allen obviously did not hire him or pay him the $1,20,000 salary without Mr. Snowden showcasing some considerable technical expertise. I believe Mr. Snowden's expertise probably lies in having deep expertise in various flavors of Linux. That is what I am inclined to infer from his various job roles as a 'Systems Engineer' or 'System Administrator.' Being the self-driven sort of person that he was, I am sure he must be having good knowledge about networking and encryption stuff including but not limited to Cisco routers and related technologies. To put these t…